News you may have missed #0180

  • UK spy tip led to Zazi arrest in New York. British spies tipped off their American counterparts to what has been described as “the most serious terrorist plot foiled in the US since 9/11”, which led to the recent arrest of Najibullah Zazi in New York.
  • US prevents Indian spies’ access to jailed Islamist. US authorities won’t let an Indian intelligence team question American Muslim David Coleman Headley, who was arrested last month for traveling to Denmark in order to plot an attack on a newspaper targeted by Islamic extremist group Lashkar-e-Taiba, because it published cartoons of the prophet Muhammad. Sources blamed “bureaucratic” and “procedural” hurdles. Hmmm…
  • Largest military deal in Israeli history taking shape. The largest defense deal in Israel’s history, the purchase of 25 F-35 stealth fighters, is advancing, as talks continue between Israel, the Pentagon, and Lockheed Martin.

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CIA sees British Muslims as most dangerous threat

By JOSEPH FITSANAKIS | intelNews.org |
On January 4, intelNews relayed reports from officials in Washington and London of an “unprecedented intelligence-gathering operation in Britain” by the CIA. The reason behind this intense activity appears to be that the Agency considers militants in Britain’s one-million-strong Muslim community to be “the most likely source of another terrorist spectacular on US soil”. Now a follow-up report in Britain’s Daily Telegraph newspaper reveals that US President Barack Obama has been briefed in detail by CIA officials about the “dramatic escalation in American espionage in Britain” in recent months. Read more of this post

Pakistan fires pro-US national security adviser

Durrani

Durrani

By IAN ALLEN | intelNews.org |
News has emerged from Islamabad that the government of Pakistan has fired national security advisor Mahmood Ali Durrani. Durrani was fired late yesterday, reportedly after publicly confirming that the sole surviving attacker of the 2008 Mumbai attacks is indeed a Pakistani citizen, a claim that the Pakistani government has fervently denied. However, the confirmation was independently backed by other senior Pakistani government officials, none of whom appear to have been disciplined. The Associated Press quotes independent Pakistani political analyst Talat Masood as saying that Durrani, who was previously Pakistan’s Ambassador to the US, and is known for his dovish stance vis-à-vis India, was seen by some critics in Pakistan as “too pro-American”. Masood suggested that the Pakistani government has been searching for a pretext to get rid of Durrani. If his observation is accurate, then Durrani’s ousting will be interpreted by American government officials as a clear signal of Islamabad’s refusal to abide by Washington’s policy directives in the so-called “war on terrorism”.

Analysis: Pakistan’s former spy chief sees wider geopolitical games in region

Hamid Gul

Hamid Gul

Lieutenant General Hamid Gul, the controversial former Director General of Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), has expressed the view that Pakistan’s nuclear disarmament is the ultimate aim of the US-Indian alliance. Speaking to reporters in Islamabad, Gul said India’s insistence on charging the ISI with complicity in the 2008 Mumbai attack is “part of a greater conspiracy to discredit the body for being an extension of the Pakistan Army” and eventually questioning the latter’s role as guardian of the country’s nuclear arsenal. “Once the Army and the ISI are demolished [the US and India] will reach out to our nuclear capability saying it is not is safe hands”, said the retired Lieutenant General. In discussing the increasing military and political collaboration between the US and India, Gul noted that “the Americans and Israel [are] hell-bent that India should be given pre-eminence in the region”, acting as the dominant regional power. He described such a scenario as essentially positioning India to the role of overseer of “60 per cent of the world’s trade [which] passes through the Indian Ocean”, including transport routes of “Gulf oil, bound for China and Japan, [which] will be under the shadow of India’s sole nuclear power”. Read more of this post

Hi-tech Mumbai attacks pose forensics problems for intel agencies

The barriers to government-authorized communications interception posed by the increasing use of Internet-based communications systems by militants or criminals are nothing new. Intelligence and law enforcement agencies have been struggling with this issue since the late 1990s, when audio-enabled instant messenger services began to rise in popularity. In 2005, a brief report in Time magazine correctly described Internet-based audio communications as a “massive technological blind spot” troubling FBI wiretap experts. It has now emerged that last month the Pakistani militant group, Lashkar-e-Taiba, used voice-over-Internet-protocol (VOIP) software to communicate with the Mumbai attackers on the ground and direct the large scale operation on a real-time basis. Read more of this post

INDIAN POLICE ARREST INTELLIGENCE AGENT BY MISTAKE

On December 1, we reported that accusing Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency of complicity in the recent militant attack of selected targets in Mumbai overlooks the responsibility of Indian intelligence agencies to prevent such attacks. We [^1] specifically pointed to revelations in Indian newspapers that “clear warnings of a coming assault were ignored” by local police forces and “that Indian intelligence agencies had precise information at least 10 months ago that Pakistani militants were planning an attack” but failed to act. It now appears that the infamous operational disconnect between Indian intelligence and police agencies has resulted in the arrest of an actual Indian undercover agent in connection with the Mumbai attacks. Specifically, last weekend the Calcutta police arrested two Indians who had used false identities to purchase 22 subscriber identity module (SIM) cards later used by militants who participated in the Mumbai attacks.

One of the arrestees is Mukhtar Ahmed, an Indian from Jammu Kashmir. It later emerged that Ahmed was in fact an Indian counterintelligence agent working on a “long-term [infiltration] mission with police in Indian-administered Kashmir”. Among his tasks was procuring “SIM cards for Lashkar-e-Taiba [^1] fighters and pass the numbers to police so that all calls from those numbers could be monitored by intelligence”. Unnamed senior Indian counterintelligence sources say that Ahmed’s arrest has blown “a high-value asset” and that Ahmed’s family is now “at risk”. Indian counterintelligence officials are further frustrated by the release of Ahmed’s name by the Calcutta police, even though local police officials had been told “categorically to keep shut on the entire Mumbai investigations”. It appears that Calcutta officials believed they had a “huge catch and [simply] wanted publicity”. [IA]

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CIA alerted Indian intelligence about pending attacks

On December 1, 2008, we suggested that simply blaming Pakistani intelligence agencies for the recent Mumbai attacks “overlooks the responsibility of Indian intelligence agencies to prevent such attacks by militants”. We cited recent revelations in Indian newspapers that “clear warnings of a coming assault were ignored” and “that Indian intelligence agencies had precise information at least 10 months ago that Pakistani militants were planning an attack”, but failed to act. Indian newspaper The Hindu is now revealing that there were at least two occasions on which the CIA delivered to India’s Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) “warnings of an impending terror attack on Mumbai”. Read more of this post

Pakistan warns of moving troops away from Afghan border

Yesterday we reported on the plausible theory that the small army that recently attacked selected targets in Mumbai has been part of a calculated ploy with a twofold operational mission: (a) “to provoke a crisis, or even a war, between the India and Pakistan”; and by doing so (b) to divert Pakistan’s attention from its Afghan to its Indian border, thus “relieving pressure on al-Qaeda, Taleban and other militants based there”. It is now being reported that “Pakistan has warned that it will divert troops fighting the Taliban and al-Qaida on its western border with Afghanistan to its eastern frontier with India”. An unnamed Pakistani security official has stated that Pakistan has “made [it] very clear to the Americans and the British that if a situation arises on our eastern borders, our priority would be our eastern border”. [IA]

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Comment: India’s intelligence, police force part of the problem

It is fine to accuse the Pakistani Army and Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency of complicity in the recent attack by a small army of selected targets in Mumbai, but this overlooks the responsibility of Indian intelligence agencies to prevent such attacks by militants. Those who criticize the ISI are ignoring the recent revelations in Indian newspapers that “clear warnings of a coming assault were ignored” and “that Indian intelligence agencies had precise information at least 10 months ago that Pakistani militants were planning an attack” but failed to act. Read more of this post

Mumbai attacks a plot to shift Pakistani troops from tribal areas

A commendable article has appeared in The London Times, articulating the theory that  the small army that has attacked selected targets in Mumbai in the past few days has been part of a calculated ploy with a twofold operational mission: (a) “to provoke a crisis, or even a war, between the India and Pakistan”; and by doing so (b) to divert Pakistan’s attention from its Afghan to its Indian border, thus “relieving pressure on al-Qaeda, Taleban and other militants based there”. Such a scenario is strategically plausible, in the sense that it would clearly alleviate the two-sided pressure (from Pakistan and Afghanistan) that al-Qaeda currently faces, thus allowing the group a higher degree of flexibility in Pakistan’s tribal border regions. [IA]

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British nationals among Mumbai attackers

Reports in the Indian media state that at least two “British citizens of Pakistani origin” were among the small army that has attacked selected targets in Mumbai in the past few days.  The source of the information is apparently Indian Chief Minister Vilasrao Deshmukh, as has been confirmed by the Associated Press. In a related development, the head of Inter-Services Intelligence, the Pakistani intelligence service, is preparing to visit India to assist in the investigation of the Mumbai attacks. It is not clear when exactly General Ahmed Shuja Pasha, the head of the ISI, will b e leaving for India; but if he does indeed go, it will be the first time that the head of the ISI will have visited India. [IA]

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