German investigators uncover suspected Russian spy weapons cache near Berlin

August 24, 2026 by Leave a comment

Brandenburg an der HavelGERMAN INVESTIGATORS SUSPECT THAT a hidden weapons cache discovered in a forest near Berlin was intended to be used by Russian intelligence operatives to carry out assassinations on German soil. The discovery of the cache was reported late last week by several German news outlets, including the Süddeutsche Zeitung newspaper and the North German Broadcasting (NDR) and West German Broadcasting (WDR) public television stations.

According to the reports, the discovery of the weapons cache is linked to the arrest of a Russian intelligence operative in Romania in 2025. The operative, who is believed to have assembled and hidden the weapons cache, revealed its existence under interrogation. Acting on this information, authorities in Germany found the cache, which had been hidden in a wooded area located on the border between the city of Berlin and Brandenburg.

The cache consists of at least two handguns and is “professionally assembled”, according to reports. German authorities believe that the weapons were hidden for future use by agents of the Russian government intent on carrying out “kinetic operations” on German soil or in nearby European states. Upon discovering the weapons, German investigators disabled them and fitted them with geolocation devices in order to monitor them. They also placed the area around the hidden weapons cache under electronic surveillance.

After waiting for several months, they determined that the intended users of the weapons were unlikely to retrieve them—possibly because they were aware that their location had been breached. They therefore decided to terminate the surveillance operation and publicly announce the discovery of the weapons. The Office of the German Federal Prosecutor is now preparing to bring charges involving conspiracy to perpetrate serious criminal acts against the security of the state.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 24 August 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , ,

Probe uncovers network of fake websites enticing Westerners to spy for China

August 17, 2026 by 1 Comment

FBIA COUNTERINTELLIGENCE INVESTIGATION INVOLVING five countries has uncovered a network of professionally designed websites offering to hire Western experts as consultants, but which are allegedly part of a Chinese spy operation. Thirteen websites have already been seized by the United States Federal Bureau of Investigation in coordination with counterintelligence agencies in Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, and New Zealand.

According to The Guardian, which reported on the apparent espionage network, these slick artificial intelligence-generated websites purport to belong to US-based international consultancies with convincing names. They advertise lucrative consultancy jobs in areas such as international politics and security, manufacturing, trade, and defense.

One such website illegally appropriated the name, corporate logo, and website content of Horizzen, a legitimate consultancy firm based in Brisbane, Australia. Last year, Horizzen began receiving emails and telephone calls from prospective employees, even though it did not seek to hire international consultants and had no interest in their areas of expertise. The FBI eventually discovered that the fake Horizzen website had been registered in India. Similar websites in the alleged Chinese spy network were found to have been registered in Pakistan and Thailand.

According to The Guardian report, the fake consultancy firms do not reveal their connection with China, pretending instead to be based in a various Western countries. Notably, the recruitment model is not one of immediate request for classified or proprietary information. Instead, the employers gradually entice their targets, initially by offering them large sums of money in return for open-source information. Eventually, however, the recruiters offer even larger sums of money in return for more sensitive—and eventually classified—information. At the same time, the communication between the employer and the target is moved to encrypted messaging platforms.

The primary targets of the alleged spy operation were US citizens, according to the FBI. Roman Rozhavsky, a senior FBI counterintelligence official, said that the fake consultancy network “illustrates the lengths the Chinese government’s intelligence services will go to as they try to use AI-generated content to trick, recruit, or coerce”.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 17 August 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , ,

Germany set to enact most sweeping intelligence reforms since World War II

August 13, 2026 by 5 Comments

Alexander DobrindtGERMANY IS ONE CLOSER to putting in motion the broadest and most wide-reaching reforms of its intelligence services since the end of World War II, which are expected to completely transform the country’s spy agencies. Among other powers, Germany’s two covert intelligence agencies will be given the ability to engage in offensive intelligence that includes carrying out sabotage and offensive information operations abroad.

Earlier this week, the proposed reforms were approved by the Federal Cabinet, which consists of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and 17 senior federal ministers. Speaking in Berlin about the proposed reforms, Germany’s Minister of the Interior, Alexander Dobrindt (pictured), said on Wednesday that the nation’s intelligence services will be “turned into genuine secret services”. He went on to describe the proposed changes as “a revolution” in the history of German national security.

The proposed reforms apply to Germany’s two covert intelligence agencies: the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution (BfV) which operates domestically, and the Federal Intelligence Service (BND), which operates abroad. Since their establishment in the 1950s, the two agencies have been tasked with gathering intelligence for purely defensive/protective reasons. Both operate under stringent oversight by committees in the Bundestag—Germany’s lower house of parliament.

The proposed reforms will permit the agencies to neutralize “threats to Germany and its allies […] using kinetic means if necessary”. This means that special agents will be allowed to employ firearms and other weapons in the course of operations—though only in self-defense. They will also be permitted to engage in sabotage and other offensive information operations, and carry out offensive cyber espionage and cyber sabotage.

The government is largely justifying the as a response to what it describes as “state terrorism” in reference to Russian hybrid warfare—a phenomenon that Western European intelligence agencies consistently claim is growing in both scope and intensity. On the same day the German Federal Cabinet approved the proposed intelligence reforms, the Bloomberg news agency //reported// that the United States Central Intelligence Agency had reported its European counterparts that Moscow was preparing to intensify its campaign of “sabotage against infrastructure facilities and ‘false-flag’ operations” on European soil.

The proposed reforms will not become law until they are formally approved by the Bundestag in September. However, this is expected to occur with a high degree of certainty, given that the majority of seats is held by the governing coalition. The latter includes the center-left Social Democrats (SPD) and the center-right Christian Social Union (CSU) and Christian Democratic Union (CDU).

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 13 August 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , ,

Czech businessman detained in China on espionage charges

August 6, 2026 by 1 Comment

Czech embassy Beijing ChinaA CZECH BUSINESSMAN, EMPLOYEE of a Czech radar manufacturer based in China, was detained by Chinese authorities in late June 2026 on suspicion of espionage, it has emerged. According to the Czech news outlet Denik N, which reviewed the relevant diplomatic correspondence, the charges concern “obtaining and passing on information without further specification”. The Chinese Foreign Ministry stated that the Czech citizen had been apprehended on “endangering national security”. However, neither Beijing nor Prague have officially confirmed or elaborated on the specific charges.

This case underscores ongoing diplomatic tensions between the Czechia and China, following the January 2026 arrest in Prague of Yang Yi-min, a Chinese journalist for Guangming Daily, on charges of acting as an unregistered agent of a foreign power. Yang remains in custody. The two detentions have fueled speculation of ‘hostage diplomacy’—a term that refers to the apprehension of foreign nationals as a means of exerting diplomatic leverage during disputes between states. However, the Czech Republic’s Minster of Foreign Affairs and Deputy Prime Minister, Petr Macinka, has publicly denied such speculation.

This case should be seen within the broader context of of Chinese-Czech relations in the post-COVID-19 era. Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babiš’s government, in office since December 2025, has sought to build a more pragmatic relationship with Beijing after years of tension under his predecessor, primarily over Prague’s positions on Taiwan. It is clear that the recent arrests further-complicate his administration’s China strategy.

Meanwhile, the businessman’s fate remains uncertain. China analyst Katerina Prochazkova, of the Sinopsis research initiative, outlined a range of possible outcomes in this case: a prisoner swap involving the Chinese national held in Prague, or a swifter resolution involving due process, consular access, and release without prolonged detention. However, she pointed to a less optimistic scenario—namely a lengthy investigation marked by limited transparency, noting that past cases have involved multi-year detentions before resolution.

The Speaker of the Czech Chamber of Deputies, Tomio Okamura, visited Beijing last month, with the aim of bolstering tourism and economic ties between the two countries. Reports circulated of a liaison between Okamura and Chinese authorities on a potential prisoner swap. However, as one Czech-China analyst noted, Okamura holds no formal foreign-policy authority and any intervention on his part would be at most an informal gesture.

► Author: Molly Jones | Date: 06 August 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , ,

Canadian NATO intern arrested on suspicion of spying for third country

August 3, 2026 by 2 Comments

NATO SHAPE Mons BelgiumA CANADIAN WOMAN OF Chinese origin was arrested on Friday July 24 on suspicion of spying for a third-party country, whilst serving as an intern at the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE) in Mons, Belgium.

Belgian authorities stated on July 25 that the woman “is suspected of spying on behalf of a third country and of being a member of a criminal organization”. Security services at SHAPE were reportedly the first to convey concerns to the Belgian Federal Prosecutor’s Office over the woman’s behavior—such as staying at NATO facilities after hours and asking questions of her colleagues. This prompted a raid of the suspect’s residence and workplace inside NATO headquarters, which resulted in an order for her to be held in a one-month pretrial custody.

No official report from Belgian or Canadian authorities has disclosed the third country or criminal organization mentioned in the press release. Moreover, whilst no official authority has disclosed the suspect’s identity, a CBC News investigation reportedly traced her background to the name of Biwei Zhang, a systems engineer with an economics background, who had previously been employed at the Canadian Space Agency and Statistics Canada. The suspect has reportedly used other aliases such as “Claire” and “Catina”.

At a systemic level, this case underscores reservations concerning Canadian national security and the processing of security clearances in Canada. Such lapses can potentially harm the security of Canadian allies; notably, the present suspect allegedly held previous positions at the World Trade Organization and the European Space Agency. This case also flags the role of internships at global security organizations such as NATO. One report described the intern position as an “Achilles’ heel”, as it provides direct insight into the institutions at the core of global security architecture.

► Author: Molly Jones | Date: 03 August 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , , ,

Iranian attacks on CIA facilities in Gulf prompts probe into Russian assistance

July 23, 2026 by 4 Comments

Iran UAV droneINTELLIGENCE ANALYSTS IN THE United States are looking into the possibility that Russia may have given Iranian targeters information about the location of secret Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) facilities in the Gulf. According to the Reuters news agency, Iran has managed to strike “several” CIA facilities in at least three countries in the Middle East in the past few months. Some of the strikes appear to have been surgically targeted at specific buildings, and even parts of buildings.

The CIA maintains official stations inside American embassy facilities throughout the Gulf. But the agency also manages an extensive network of offices, logistics hubs, safe houses, and surveillance or other operational facilities throughout the region. The location of these facilities is highly classified and compartmentalized even within the CIA itself. According to intelligence sources cited by Reuters, few nations other than Russia possess the necessary resources to map the precise locations of CIA facilities and the desire to share them with Tehran.

Citing “four people familiar with US intelligence”, Reuters said that Iran has managed to successfully target “more than one and fewer than a dozen” CIA facilities in the Gulf since March. Among them is a secret facility in Iraq, as well as the CIA station in Saudi Arabia, which is located inside the US embassy complex in Riyadh. According to reports, Tehran deployed an advanced version of its Shahed and Mohajer drones to demolish the exterior wall of the CIA station before another set of kamikaze drones burst into the interior of the facility. Some analysts believe that the kinetic capabilities of the drones used in the attack had been enhanced using Russian technical expertise.

The Reuters report added that Moscow has a longstanding intelligence-sharing relationship with Iran and has been known to provide Tehran with targeting information and other forms of support. This relationship only strengthened since the onset of the current war between the US, Israel, and Iran. However, the report states that intelligence officials have yet to draw firm conclusions about Russia’s precise role in the Iranian attacks on CIA facilities.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 23 July 2026 | Research credit: M.J. | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , , , ,

Russian spies hacked security cameras to monitor weapons shipments to Ukraine

July 14, 2026 by 2 Comments

CCTV cameraSTATE-SPONSORED RUSSIAN HACKERS compromised surveillance cameras in the Netherlands in an effort to monitor the transportation of weapons to Ukraine, according to a report issued by the Dutch government. The compromised cameras were located across routes used by North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) forces to transport weapons to Kyiv, according to the report.

The revelation is contained in a joint communique issued by the two primary intelligence agencies of the Netherlands—the Military Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD) and the General Intelligence and Security Service (AIVD). It states that Russian hackers targeted security camera systems—most of them belonging to private businesses—located along transportation routes that are frequented by NATO military convoys heading to Ukraine.

Access to the camera feeds enabled Russian intelligence to identify the precise routes used by NATO military convoys and to monitor the types of equipment being transported to Ukraine. Ground-level security cameras also offered an important intelligence advantage over satellite and drone imagery by providing close-range views of vehicles and cargo, revealing operational details that overhead collection platforms often fail to capture.

The communiqué does not specify the exact number of compromised security cameras, noting only that it was “small”. Nor does it identify the specific transportation routes covered by the affected cameras. It does, however, confirm that the compromised systems were positioned along military logistics routes used to support NATO assistance to Ukraine. It further notes that the cameras were compromised as part of a “large-scale Russian operation” that aims to monitor, and if possible stop, NATO military assistance to Ukraine.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 14 Jul 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , , , , , , ,

Female suspect in Monaco bombing that targeted sanctioned oligarch found dead

July 8, 2026 by 3 Comments

Anastasiia BerezovskaA WOMAN SUSPECTED OF having planted an explosive device that critically injured a sanctioned oligarch and members of his family in Monaco has been found dead in Ukraine, according to reports. Two men have been charged with murdering the woman, both of whom are Ukrainian government employees. One of the suspects is a law enforcement officer and the other is a military intelligence officer, according to reports.

Authorities in Monaco believe that Anastasiia Berezovska, 39, a Ukrainian national, planted a parcel bomb that seriously injured multi-millionaire Vadym Yermolaiev on June 29. Yermolaiev’s mistress and their 13-year-old son were also injured, according to reports. In 2019, Yermolaiev renounced his Ukrainian citizenship and became a citizen of Cyprus. In 2022, when Russia launched the latest phase of its invasion of Ukraine, Yermolaiev moved his family to Monaco.

In 2023 the Ukrainian government imposed financial sanctions on Yermolaiev, claiming that he collaborated with the authorities in Russian-occupied eastern Ukraine. But Yermolaiev refuted these allegations, claiming that he regarded Russia as an “enemy” and that he had provided financial donations to the Ukrainian Armed Forces. He also claimed that he had renounced his Ukrainian citizenship because the Ukrainian tax system was unfair and he wanted to receive “international protection”.

On Tuesday the BBC reported that it contacted the office of Monaco’s prosecutor, who said that Berezovska had “spent days casing out” Yermolaiev’s residence and that she had disguised herself as a man when she planted the parcel bomb in the entranceway of Yermolaiev’s Monaco apartment. Shortly after the bomb exploded, at 9:00 p.m. local time, Berezovska used a rented car to drive across the border to Italy and then to Germany.

By that time, Interpol had issued a Red Notice alert for Berezovska, which prompted German special forces personnel to raid an apartment the suspect had rented in Germany’s central state of Hesse. However, Berezovska was not found there. It now appears that she had entered Ukraine on July 1, where she made contact with her family and two men, according to Ukrainian authorities. According to the prosecutor general’s office, Berezovska “traveled a certain distance with [the two men], after which she was killed”.

Citing the office of Ukraine’s prosecutor general, the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), and “a current officer” in Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence of Ukraine (DIU), the BBC reports that Berezovska’s body was found buried in a forest in Kyiv. Her body displayed two bullet wounds to the head. A law enforcement officer and a DIU officer have been charged with murdering Berezovska, according to the BBC. Previously, the men are believed to have transferred funds to Berezovska’s bank and cryptocurrency accounts.

In a statement cited by the BBC, the SBU said that a house belonging to one of the two suspects contained a basement room that “resembled a torture chamber”. The two men have been charged with “intentional murder committed by prior conspiracy by a group of persons”. Ukrainian law enforcement officials stated on Tuesday that they are working on identifying more suspects in the case.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 07 July 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , , , , ,

US spy agencies resisting White House plan to create master list of espionage threats

July 1, 2026 by 11 Comments

ODNI DNIAMERICAN INTELLIGENCE AGENCIES are reportedly refusing to abide by a White House directive that requires them to turn over the names of all individuals who are believed to be spying on the United States. The directive aims to build a master list of all known foreign intelligence actors with the goal of streamlining American counterintelligence efforts against them. However, according to a New York Times report, senior counterintelligence officials are concerned that such a centralized master list could leak and result in a catastrophic compromise of national security information.

Citing “people familiar with the matter”, the Times said on Monday that the effort to create a master list of foreign spies and Americans who are spying on behalf of foreign intelligence services is being led by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). The agency has asked the Federal Bureau of Investigation FBI to provide the names of all individuals who have been found to engage in espionage and are being watched by the Bureau. Likewise, the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) has been asked to provide names of foreign espionage operatives that populate its lists of potential assets—foreign spies who may in time be turned by the CIA.

The master list of spies would potentially allow the entirety of the United States Intelligence Community (IC) to monitor the global activities of these espionage operatives and share information about them in real time. Additionally, the existence of such a list would in theory prevent operational duplication and help deconfliction within the IC when it comes to counterintelligence efforts. The central idea behind the master list dates to National Security Presidential Memorandum – 7, a directive issued by President Donald Trump in October 2017, during his first term in office.

However, senior counterintelligence officials are reportedly concerned that giving the ODNI full access to such a comprehensive master list of espionage threat actors could potentially compromise the integrity of counterintelligence operations. Information about espionage operatives and assets—both current and prospective—is usually protected behind several layers of classification and compartmentalization that shield it even within individual intelligence agencies. Additionally, some of the information relating to these individuals is acquired through counterintelligence activities authorized by the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, and is thus subject to tight restrictions.

At a deeper level, the resistance of senior counterintelligence officials to surrender sensitive information about espionage to the ODNI reflects years of mutual suspicion and turf wars within the IC. According to the Times, these officials have yet to agree about how such a master list would be constructed, what information it would contain, who should have access to it, and how it should be maintained and updated.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 1 July 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , , ,

Iran has mostly replenished its missile stockpiles: Western intelligence

June 15, 2026 by 5 Comments

Iran War 2026IRAN USED THE EIGHT-week ceasefire with the United States and Israel to replenish its military arsenal to at least three-quarters of its pre-war levels, according to Western intelligence estimates. Tehran has been able to incorporate substantial supplies of Russian-built weapons to its firepower and could easily reach 100 percent of its pre-war arsenal capacity soon, according to reports.

The latest estimates directly contradict earlier assessments by the administration of US President Donald Trump, which claims Iran’s military firepower has been obliterated in the past three months. In March, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced that Iran’s offensive capability had been reduced by as much as 90 percent. Earlier this month, President Trump claimed that Iran’s missile arsenal stood at 60 percent of its pre-war level.

However, Western intelligence estimates now suggest that the Iranian regime’s ability to replenish its military arsenal has been far more advanced than presumed by its adversaries. In a related development, the Reuters news agency reported last week that the United Arab Emirates directly approached Tehran and offered to pay it in return for not being attacked again.

According to Reuters, the UAE agreed to give Iran between $10 and $20 billion in return for halting its attacks on the Gulf state. The news agency claimed that $3 billion of the earmarked funds had already been delivered to Tehran. In a subsequent statement, the UAE’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs dismissed the Reuters report as “entirely false and unfounded” and stated that no funds had been “released, transferred or facilitated through the UAE”.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 15 June 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , ,

CIA officer found with over $42 million in gold and cash had created ‘fake’ program

June 8, 2026 by 4 Comments

CIAA CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY officer allegedly created a fake government program in order to embezzle over $42 million in government funds, according to reports. The Federal Bureau of Investigation arrested David J. Rush on May 19, after he has found in possession of 303 bars of gold worth over $40 million. He was also found in possession of over $2 million in cash and over 30 luxury watches.

Late last week, The Washington Post reported that Rush had built an unacknowledged special access program (SAP). Dating to World War II, SAPs are government-authorized support operations or ‘black’ projects with information-sharing restrictions that exceed those of regular classified projects. Select government personnel are typically ‘read in’ to such projects after signing specialized nondisclosure agreements (NDAs) that exceed the scope of their top-secret clearances.

According to The Post, Rush created a CIA unacknowledged SAP relating to “continuity of government operations”. The term refers to state-wide plans to enable the United States government to continue to perform essential operations in the event of a catastrophic disaster, such as a highly destructive earthquake, a pandemic, or a nuclear war.

Using the ‘read-in’ provisions of SAPs, Rush allegedly read two of his CIA colleagues into the program he created. In doing so, Rush used carefully crafted NDAs that prevented his colleagues from disclosing the program’s existence to others. He then allegedly convinced his colleagues to transfer bars of gold and cash into the program, claiming that the resources were to be used to keep the United States government operating as part of continuity planning.

The accused reportedly remains in detention in Alexandria, Virginia, after a federal judge ruled last week that there was significant likelihood he would abscond or fail to appear for future proceedings.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 08 June 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , ,

US, Mexican authorities deny claims CIA is assassinating cartel members in Mexico

May 18, 2026 by 4 Comments

Sinaloa cartelAUTHORITIES IN MEXICO AND the United States have rejected as “fictions” reports in American and Mexican media that Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) personnel are directly involved in assassination operations against the cartels. Notably The New York Times and CNN reported last week that the CIA participated in the killing of mid-level Sinaloa cartel member Francisco “El Playin” Beltran and his driver. The two men were killed by a car bomb on March 28 in a suburb of Mexico City.

According to the reports, Beltran’s killing was part of a rapidly expanding CIA campaign in Mexico, which aims to eliminate selected mid-tier members of the cartels. Some of the operations allegedly involve the participation of the CIA’s so-called “Ground Branch”, which is the paramilitary and covert action wing of the CIA’s Special Activities Center (SAC). Some Ground Branch members have directly participated in assassination operations in Mexico, either in collaboration with the Mexican authorities or as teams operating independently, according to the reports.

But Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum issued an outright denial of the claims last Wednesday during her weekly media conference in Mexico City, describing them as “fictions the size of the universe”. Sheinbaum’s claims came a day after Omar Harfuch, Mexico’s Secretary of Security and Citizen Protection, dismissed the reports as “false and salacious reporting”, adding that they serve as “nothing more than a [public relations] campaign for the cartels and [put] American lives at risk”.

American officials insist that the role of American military and intelligence agencies in anti-cartel operations in Mexico is limited to training and intelligence-sharing, and stress that American government personnel have no direct involvement in these activities. However, there is intense speculation about the death of two American embassy officials in a car crash in April, following their alleged participation in a counter-cartel operation in the Mexican state of Chihuahua. According to The New York Times, the two embassy officials were CIA officers.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 18 May 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , , , , , , ,

China is now sending missiles to Iran, according to US intelligence agencies

April 13, 2026 by 11 Comments

MANPAD missileTHERE IS MOUNTING EVIDENCE to suggest that the government of China may be supplying missiles to the Iranian armed forces, according to American intelligence agencies. Combined with prior reports about alleged Russian intelligence assistance to Iran, these latest indicators may demonstrate that China and Russia are aiding the Iranian military in a systematic and coordinated fashion in order to contribute to an American strategic defeat in the Middle East.

On Saturday, the US-based international television network CNN cited “three people familiar with recent intelligence assessment” in reporting that China was preparing to deliver to Iran several shipments of shoulder-fired anti-air missile systems, known as MANPADs. These missile systems are highly prized in both low- and high-intensity conflicts because they give individual soldiers a cheap, portable way to destroy multimillion-dollar aircraft. Their low cost and ease of concealment allow ambush-style attacks that are difficult to detect, forcing enemy pilots to fly higher or avoid certain areas. Thus, if utilized appropriately, MANPAD weapons can effectively strip an opponent of their low-altitude air superiority.

Later on Saturday, a report in The New York Times claimed that United States intelligence agencies have obtained evidence that China may have already sent at least one shipment of MANPADs to Iran. The paper noted that the intelligence collected is “not definitive” and that there is no evidence to suggest that the Iranians have received the shipment of missiles from China, or that they have deployed these weapons on the battlefield.

If it is verified, however, the intelligence may indicate that the Chinese are abandoning their traditional reluctance to supply Iran with finished or fully assembled weapons systems—especially for use against the United States armed forces. In the past, China has used a number of state-controlled export companies to supply Iran with fuel, chemicals and hardware components that can, under certain circumstances, be used to aid Iran’s military effort.

If China were to begin to systematically supply Iran with missiles and other weapons systems, it could significantly alter the course of the ongoing conflict between the Islamic Republic and the United States-Israeli alliance. Much of the course of this war depends on the ability of each side to maintain its supply of weapons—especially offensive and defensive missiles, or other interceptor ammunition.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 13 April 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , ,

Investigation uncovers previously unknown Russian covert action unit

March 16, 2026 by 6 Comments

Valery GerasimovA JOINT PROJECT BY the German newsmagazine Der Spiegel and the investigative website The Insider has uncovered the existence and inner workings of a previously unknown Russian intelligence and cover action unit. The unit’s formal name is Military Unit 75127, but it is known within Russia’s intelligence establishment as Center 795. The Russian government reportedly created the unit in December 2022—less than a year following the Kremlin’s full military invasion of Ukraine.

By mid-2023, Center 795 was “fully staffed”, with its ≈500 officers coming mostly from the Main Directorate of the Russian Armed Forces’ General staff (known as GU or GRU). Other Center 795 officers came from ALPHA and VYMPEL—covert action units belonging to the Special Purpose Center of the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB). A smaller number of officers came from the Russian Armed Forces, the Federal Protective Service, and from the ALPHA Group of the Belarussian security service, known as KGB.

The structure of Center 795 features three directorates: Intelligence, Combat Support, and Assault Operations. The Directorate of Intelligence consists of nine distinct departments tasked with—among other things—collecting and analyzing intelligence from social media platforms, conducting reconnaissance using satellite networks and drones, carrying out signals intelligence, as well as executing human intelligence and covert operations, including assassinations and abductions.

The Directorate for Combat Support is staffed with explosive, air defense, armored warfare, and artillery operatives. It also maintains combat units that conduct technical maintenance, logistics, fortification, and other specialized tasks. The Assault Operations Directorate consists of four departments, which appear to conduct strictly compartmentalized functions that include airborne tasks.

Notably, unlike other special activities units in Russia’s intelligence arsenal, Center 795 does not appear to reside within the GRU. Instead, it appears to operate independently of military intelligence oversight and to report directly to General Valery Gerasimov (pictured), Chief of the Russian Armed Forces’ General Staff of and First Deputy Minister of Defense, or to one of his subordinate deputy defense ministers.

According to the investigative reports, the existence of Center 795 was revealed when one of its officers, Denis Alimov, used Google to translate a message sent to him by a Serbian operative living in the United States. This allowed the United States Federal Bureau of Investigation to use a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISA) warrant and access the Google Translate transcripts. Alimov was eventually arrested in Bogotá, Colombia, on February 24, 2026, after arriving there on a Turkish Airlines flight from Istanbul, Turkey. He is currently awaiting extradition to New York.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 16 March 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , , , , , ,

Classified US intelligence report suggests Iran regime unlikely to fall or change

March 9, 2026 by 11 Comments

Iran KhameneiA CLASSIFIED REPORT ISSUED two weeks ago by the United States National Intelligence Council (NIC) found that even a full-scale interstate war against Iran would be unlikely to dislodge or drastically alter the current regime. A summary of the report was revealed by The Washington Post, which cited three anonymous sources the paper said were intimately familiar with the report’s contents.

Composed of senior and highly respected intelligence analysts from across the U.S. Intelligence Community (IC), the NIC is tasked with producing classified strategic assessments on critical issues of concern to American decision-makers. Technically NIC reports represent the collective voice of all 18 intelligence agencies that make up the U.S. IC, and come as close as possible to the IC’s consensus view on pressing national security concerns.

According to The Washington Post, the NIC report outlines several scenarios for leadership succession in Iran, resulting from either a surgical “decapitation” campaign against specific elements of regime, or from a large-scale military assault against the entirety of the Iranian security state. It concludes that in both cases the Iranian regime is too entrenched and powerful to fall. Moreover, even in the event of “decapitation”, the regime has substantial human resources to keep replenishing its fallen military and civilian leaders, including the Supreme Leader.

Lastly, the NIC report concludes that the Iranian opposition within Iran and around the world is too disjointed, fragmented and disorganized to pose a credible alternative to the Iranian security state. While discussing a number of different potential scenarios for the takeover of power by the Iranian opposition, the NIC report concludes that such an eventuality remains “unlikely”, The Post reports.

The Post’s report appears to confirm earlier accounts by The New York Times and the Reuters news agency, which suggested that the consensus view among the U.S. IC is that, if killed, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei would almost certainly be replaced by another hardliner, who would be ideologically opposed to both Israel and the West.

Notably, The Washington Post notes that the NIC report does not consider the possibility that the U.S. and Israel might decide to engage in a protracted ground war against Iran. Additionally, the report does not entertain the possibility that ethnic separatist forces within Iran—such as the Kurds, the Azeris or the Balochis—might revolt against Tehran, thus sparking a nationwide armed conflict.

► Author: Joseph Fitsanakis | Date: 09 March 2026 | Permalink

Filed under Expert news and commentary on intelligence, espionage, spies and spying Tagged with , , , ,

← Older posts